J-League Cup · Sep 07, 2025 09:30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PWR 74
Shonan Bellmare
PWR 55
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PWR 74
4 - 1
FT
Shonan Bellmare
PWR 55
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (29%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack83
Defense62
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G1.1
Attack48
Defense56
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Sanfrecce Hiro… Form
LWLWD
STABLE
Shonan Bellmare Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS12%
Under 2.587%
Sanfrecce H… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Shonan Bell… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Sanfrecce Hiro…vs
0.20
Shonan BellmareDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sanfrecce H…+7
Gap#9
Shonan Bell…
WR 77% 30 pts
WR 63% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiros… | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 30 |
| Shonan Bellmare | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
Sanfrecce Hiro…
10.0%
| Sep 03 | Sanfrec… v Shonan … | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | Sanfrec… v Tokyo V… | 0-3 |
| Aug 20 | Sanfrec… v Vissel … | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Sanfrec… v Gamba O… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Sanfrec… v Shimizu… | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Sanfrec… v Albirex… | 0-2 |
| Jul 05 | Sanfrec… v Fagiano… | 0-1 |
| Jul 02 | Sanfrec… v Vissel … | 1-0 |
| Jun 28 | Sanfrec… v Nagoya … | 1-2 |
| Jun 22 | Sanfrec… v Yokoham… | 0-4 |
Shonan Bellmare
6.0%
| Sep 03 | Shonan … v Sanfrec… | 3-2 |
| Aug 31 | Shonan … v Gamba O… | 4-5 |
| Aug 23 | Shonan … v Fagiano… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Shonan … v FC Tokyo | 2-2 |
| Aug 10 | Shonan … v Kashiwa… | 2-0 |
| Jul 23 | Shonan … v Urawa | 4-1 |
| Jul 19 | Shonan … v Cerezo … | 3-3 |
| Jul 05 | Shonan … v Vissel … | 4-0 |
| Jun 28 | Shonan … v Yokoham… | 1-1 |
| Jun 14 | Shonan … v Machida… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 03, 2025 | Shonan Bellma… | 3-2 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| May 07, 2025 | Shonan Bellma… | 0-1 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Shonan Bellma… | 2-1 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hir… | 2-0 | Shonan Bellma… |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Shonan Bellma… | 1-0 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| May 27, 2023 | Sanfrecce Hir… | 1-0 | Shonan Bellma… |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Sanfrecce Hir… | 1-1 | Shonan Bellma… |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Shonan Bellma… | 0-1 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| Nov 07, 2021 | Shonan Bellma… | 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
Key Factors
Shonan Bellmare struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.