Canadian Premier League · Sep 05, 2025 23:30

York 9 FC
PWR 46
3 - 1
FT

Cavalry FC
PWR 53
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense50
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.4
Attack60
Defense56
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
York 9 FC Form LWDLD
STABLE
Cavalry FC Form WDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS38%
Under 2.541%
York 9 FC Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Cavalry FC Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
York 9 FC
vs
0.51
Cavalry FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
York 9 FC
-2
Gap
#3
Cavalry FC
WR 33% 39 pts WR 42% 48 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
York 9 FC3010911454339
Cavalry FC311399533948
York 9 FC 8.0%
Sep 01 York 9 … v HFX Wan… 4-0
Aug 24 York 9 … v Pacific… 5-1
Aug 17 York 9 … v Valour 0-0
Aug 09 York 9 … v Forge 1-2
Aug 03 York 9 … v Atlétic… 0-0
Jul 26 York 9 … v Cavalry… 0-1
Jul 19 York 9 … v Vancouv… 4-0
Jul 13 York 9 … v Valour 3-2
Jun 29 York 9 … v Forge 2-2
Jun 22 York 9 … v Atlétic… 0-0
Cavalry FC 12.0%
Aug 30 Cavalry… v Forge 4-1
Aug 23 Cavalry… v Atlétic… 2-2
Aug 17 Cavalry… v Vancouv… 5-4
Aug 09 Cavalry… v HFX Wan… 0-0
Aug 04 Cavalry… v Pacific… 1-0
Jul 30 Cavalry… v Valour 2-1
Jul 26 Cavalry… v York 9 … 0-1
Jul 20 Cavalry… v Valour 1-2
Jul 14 Cavalry… v Vancouv… 0-0
Jun 28 Cavalry… v Atlétic… 0-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Jul 26, 2025 Cavalry FC 0-1 York 9 FC
Jun 08, 2025 Cavalry FC 2-1 York 9 FC
May 03, 2025 York 9 FC 1-2 Cavalry FC
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.