AI Match Insights

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Canadian Premier League Aug 23, 2025

Atlético Ottawa

Home
VS
23:00

Cavalry FC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Atlético Ottawa Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Cavalry FC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Ottawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Cavalry FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Atlético Ottawa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Atlético … vs Forge 2-0
Aug 10 Atlético … vs Valour 1-2
Aug 03 Atlético … vs York 9 FC 0-0
Jul 27 Atlético … vs Pacific FC 0-2
Jul 18 Atlético … vs HFX Wande… 2-0
Jul 12 Atlético … vs Forge 1-1
Jun 28 Atlético … vs Cavalry FC 0-2
Jun 22 Atlético … vs York 9 FC 0-0
Jun 15 Atlético … vs Valour 3-0
Jun 07 Atlético … vs Pacific FC 0-1
Cavalry FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Cavalry FC vs Vancouver… 5-4
Aug 09 Cavalry FC vs HFX Wande… 0-0
Aug 04 Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC 1-0
Jul 30 Cavalry FC vs Valour 2-1
Jul 26 Cavalry FC vs York 9 FC 0-1
Jul 20 Cavalry FC vs Valour 1-2
Jul 14 Cavalry FC vs Vancouver… 0-0
Jun 28 Cavalry FC vs Atlético … 0-2
Jun 22 Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC 1-0
Jun 14 Cavalry FC vs HFX Wande… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Ottawa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cavalry FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 28, 2025 Cavalry FC 0 - 2 Atlético Ottawa Canadian Premi…
Apr 26, 2025 Cavalry FC 1 - 3 Atlético Ottawa Canadian Premi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Ottawa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Ottawa Power 0
Cavalry FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.