Ekstraklasa · Feb 03, 2026 19:30

Piast Gliwice
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Lech Poznan
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (22%) 0-1 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Piast Gliwice Form LLWWL
DOWN
Lech Poznan Form LDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS28%
Under 2.580%
Piast Gliwi… Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Lech Poznan Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Piast Gliwice
vs
0.78
Lech Poznan
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market39%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Piast Gliwi…
-3
Gap
#9
Lech Poznan
WR 33% 23 pts WR 33% 26 pts
Piast Gliwice 8.0%
Jan 31 Piast G… v Gornik … 2-1
Jan 10 Piast G… v Sigma O… 2-0
Dec 14 Piast G… v Legia W… 0-1
Dec 06 Piast G… v Legia W… 2-0
Dec 03 Piast G… v Lech Po… 0-2
Nov 28 Piast G… v Widzew … 0-2
Nov 22 Piast G… v Raków C… 1-3
Nov 08 Piast G… v GKS Kat… 1-3
Oct 31 Piast G… v Korona … 0-0
Oct 28 Piast G… v Odra Op… 0-2
Lech Poznan 10.0%
Jan 31 Lech Po… v Lechia … 1-3
Dec 11 Lech Po… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Dec 07 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 2-2
Dec 03 Lech Po… v Piast G… 0-2
Nov 30 Lech Po… v Wisla P… 0-0
Nov 27 Lech Po… v Lausanne 2-0
Nov 23 Lech Po… v Radomia… 4-1
Nov 09 Lech Po… v Arka Gd… 3-1
Nov 06 Lech Po… v Rayo Va… 3-2
Nov 02 Lech Po… v Motor L… 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 03, 2025 Piast Gliwice 0-2 Lech Poznan
May 24, 2025 Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Nov 29, 2024 Piast Gliwice 0-0 Lech Poznan
Jun 29, 2024 Lech Poznan 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Dec 10, 2023 Lech Poznan 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Jul 22, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lech Poznan
Mar 12, 2023 Piast Gliwice 1-1 Lech Poznan
Aug 28, 2022 Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice
May 08, 2022 Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lech Poznan
Nov 20, 2021 Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Key Factors
Piast Gliwice struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.