Ekstraklasa · Aug 02, 2025 18:15

Lech Poznan
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Gornik Zabrze
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lech Poznan to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Lech Poznan Form WWWLW
UP
Gornik Zabrze Form WWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS46%
Under 2.536%
Lech Poznan Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Gornik Zabr… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
Lech Poznan
vs
0.65
Gornik Zabrze
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings38%
Market50%
League Standings
#9
Lech Poznan
-6
Gap
#3
Gornik Zabr…
WR 30% 26 pts WR 33% 33 pts
Lech Poznan 16.0%
Jul 30 Lech Po… v Breidab… 0-1
Jul 26 Lech Po… v Lechia … 3-4
Jul 22 Lech Po… v Breidab… 7-1
Jul 18 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 1-4
May 24 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-0
May 18 Lech Po… v GKS Kat… 2-2
May 11 Lech Po… v Legia W… 0-1
May 03 Lech Po… v Puszcza… 8-1
Apr 27 Lech Po… v Radomia… 2-2
Apr 21 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 2-1
Gornik Zabrze 14.0%
Jul 26 Gornik … v Piast G… 0-1
Jul 20 Gornik … v Lechia … 2-1
May 24 Gornik … v Korona … 1-1
May 17 Gornik … v Piast G… 2-0
May 09 Gornik … v Śląsk W… 2-0
May 04 Gornik … v Jagiell… 1-1
Apr 27 Gornik … v Widzew … 0-0
Apr 22 Gornik … v Stal Mi… 0-0
Apr 11 Gornik … v Zaglebi… 2-1
Mar 09 Gornik … v Lechia … 1-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Dec 06, 2024 Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Lech Poznan
Jul 21, 2024 Lech Poznan 2-0 Gornik Zabrze
Mar 09, 2024 Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznan
Sep 02, 2023 Lech Poznan 1-1 Gornik Zabrze
Apr 30, 2023 Lech Poznan 0-1 Gornik Zabrze
Oct 16, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Lech Poznan
Mar 02, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 0-2 Lech Poznan
Dec 19, 2021 Lech Poznan 2-1 Gornik Zabrze
Jul 30, 2021 Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Lech Poznan
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (4W in last 5)
Gornik Zabrze in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.