Ligue 1 · Nov 19, 2025 13:00
Etoile de Kivu
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Bukavu Dawa
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Etoile de Kivu Form DLWDL
STABLE
Bukavu Dawa Form LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS53%
Under 2.540%
Etoile de K… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Bukavu Dawa Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Etoile de Kivu
vs
0.77
Bukavu Dawa
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Etoile de K…
+3
Gap
#14
Bukavu Dawa
WR 22% 19 pts WR 0% 10 pts
Etoile de Kivu 8.0%
Nov 15 Etoile … v Rangers… 1-1
Nov 12 Etoile … v Dauphin… 0-3
Nov 07 Etoile … v Renaiss… 0-1
Nov 04 Etoile … v Céleste 0-0
Oct 31 Etoile … v Motema … 4-2
Oct 26 Etoile … v Anges V… 3-2
Oct 23 Etoile … v Vita Cl… 3-0
Mar 14 Etoile … v Rangers… 1-0
Dec 28 Etoile … v Motema … 1-0
Dec 11 Etoile … v Renaiss… 1-1
Bukavu Dawa 6.0%
Nov 16 Bukavu … v Vita Cl… 0-2
Nov 13 Bukavu … v New Jack 2-1
Nov 08 Bukavu … v Maniema… 0-0
Nov 05 Bukavu … v Dauphin… 2-1
Nov 02 Bukavu … v Renaiss… 0-1
Oct 30 Bukavu … v Céleste 5-0
Oct 26 Bukavu … v Motema … 0-3
Oct 22 Bukavu … v Anges V… 3-0
Dec 12 Bukavu … v Anges V… 4-3
Dec 04 Bukavu … v JSK 0-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 03, 2024 Etoile de Kivu 0-1 Bukavu Dawa
Key Factors
Bukavu Dawa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.