AI Match Insights

HKFA 1st Division Dec 28, 2025

Metro Gallery Sun Source

Home
VS
05:30

Sham Shui Po

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Metro Gallery Sun Source Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sham Shui Po Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.32 - 1.24
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Metro Gallery Sun Source Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sham Shui Po Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Metro Gallery Sun Source Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Metro Gal… vs Kwun Tong 1-6
Dec 07 Metro Gal… vs South Chi… 0-4
Nov 30 Metro Gal… vs Yuen Long 3-2
Nov 16 Metro Gal… vs Resources… 7-1
Nov 02 Metro Gal… vs WSE 2-3
Oct 19 Metro Gal… vs Hoi King 4-1
Oct 12 Metro Gal… vs Tung Sing 3-2
Sep 28 Metro Gal… vs Central &… 1-5
Sep 21 Metro Gal… vs 3 Sing 3-2
Sham Shui Po Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Sham Shui… vs Central &… 2-1
Dec 14 Sham Shui… vs Shatin 0-1
Nov 30 Sham Shui… vs South Chi… 1-0
Nov 16 Sham Shui… vs Kwun Tong 0-2
Nov 02 Sham Shui… vs 3 Sing 0-1
Oct 26 Sham Shui… vs Hoi King 2-1
Oct 19 Sham Shui… vs Tung Sing 0-2
Oct 12 Sham Shui… vs Citizen AA 2-3
Sep 28 Sham Shui… vs Yuen Long 2-2
Sep 21 Sham Shui… vs Lucky Mile 8-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Metro Gallery Sun Source in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Sham Shui Po in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Metro Gallery Sun Source to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Metro Gallery Sun Source Power 0
Sham Shui Po Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.