J2 League · Aug 09, 2025 10:00

Omiya Ardija
PWR 54

JEF United Chiba
PWR 53

Omiya Ardija
PWR 54
0 - 1
FT

JEF United Chiba
PWR 53
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense61
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.1
Omiya Ardija Form
WLLDD
STABLE
JEF United Chi… Form
DWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS36%
Under 2.568%
Omiya Ardija Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
JEF United … Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Omiya Ardijavs
0.68
JEF United Chi…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Omiya Ardija+2
Gap#8
JEF United …
WR 46% 65 pts
WR 47% 63 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 63 | 46 | 65 |
| JEF United Chiba | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 41 | 63 |
Omiya Ardija
8.0%
| Aug 02 | Omiya A… v Katalle… | 0-2 |
| Jul 12 | Omiya A… v Ventfor… | 1-0 |
| Jul 05 | Omiya A… v Iwaki | 1-2 |
| Jun 28 | Omiya A… v Oita Tr… | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Omiya A… v Sagan T… | 0-0 |
| Jun 15 | Omiya A… v V-Varen… | 3-3 |
| Jun 08 | Omiya A… v Ehime FC | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Omiya A… v Júbilo … | 2-2 |
| May 17 | Omiya A… v Fujieda… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Omiya A… v Vegalta… | 3-0 |
JEF United Chi…
6.0%
| Aug 02 | JEF Uni… v Iwaki | 2-2 |
| Jul 12 | JEF Uni… v Montedi… | 0-1 |
| Jul 05 | JEF Uni… v Sagan T… | 0-2 |
| Jun 28 | JEF Uni… v Katalle… | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | JEF Uni… v Júbilo … | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | JEF Uni… v Tokushi… | 3-3 |
| May 31 | JEF Uni… v Renofa … | 0-0 |
| May 25 | JEF Uni… v V-Varen… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | JEF Uni… v Vegalta… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | JEF Uni… v Imabari | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 06, 2025 | JEF United Ch… | 1-2 | Omiya Ardija |
Key Factors
JEF United Chiba struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.