AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Nov 04, 2025

The New Saints

Home
VS
19:45

Caernarfon Town

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
The New Saints Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Caernarfon Town Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.74 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
The New Saints Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Caernarfon Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
The New Saints Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 The New S… vs Haverford… 2-3
Oct 24 The New S… vs Llanelli … 0-4
Oct 18 The New S… vs Mold Alex… 1-2
Oct 11 The New S… vs Penybont 6-2
Oct 07 The New S… vs Caernarfo… 1-3
Oct 04 The New S… vs Barry Town 4-0
Sep 26 The New S… vs Bala Town 0-2
Sep 23 The New S… vs Flint Tow… 4-2
Sep 19 The New S… vs Cardiff M… 1-3
Sep 13 The New S… vs Llanelli … 6-0
Caernarfon Town Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Caernarfo… vs Briton Fe… 4-1
Oct 25 Caernarfo… vs Penybont 0-2
Oct 18 Caernarfo… vs Newtown A… 0-3
Oct 18 Caernarfo… vs Trethomas… 5-1
Oct 11 Caernarfo… vs Barry Town 2-2
Oct 07 Caernarfo… vs The New S… 1-3
Oct 04 Caernarfo… vs Colwyn Bay 1-0
Sep 28 Caernarfo… vs Cardiff M… 0-3
Sep 23 Caernarfo… vs GAP Conna… 1-2
Sep 20 Caernarfo… vs Penybont 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • The New Saints in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Caernarfon Town in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2025 Caernarfon Town 1 - 3 The New Saints Premier League
Mar 11, 2025 The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Feb 11, 2025 Caernarfon Town 0 - 1 The New Saints Premier League
Dec 26, 2024 Caernarfon Town 2 - 5 The New Saints Premier League
Oct 09, 2024 The New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Apr 05, 2024 The New Saints 7 - 1 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Feb 23, 2024 Caernarfon Town 1 - 8 The New Saints Premier League
Dec 26, 2023 The New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon Town Premier League
Dec 09, 2023 Caernarfon Town 0 - 3 The New Saints Welsh Cup
Sep 26, 2023 Caernarfon Town 1 - 3 The New Saints Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: The New Saints to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
The New Saints Power 0
Caernarfon Town Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.