AI Match Insights
USL League One Cup Jun 29, 2025
Orange County SC
HomeVS
02:00
Sacramento Republic
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Orange County SC Win
Draw
Sacramento Republic Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.20 - 0.82
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Sacramento Republic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
Orange County SC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15 | Orange Co… vs El Paso L… | 0-3 |
| Jun 08 | Orange Co… vs Phoenix R… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Orange Co… vs Colorado … | 3-1 |
| May 18 | Orange Co… vs New Mexic… | 0-3 |
| May 09 | Orange Co… vs North Car… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Orange Co… vs FC UFA | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Orange Co… vs Sacrament… | 2-1 |
| Nov 10 | Orange Co… vs Colorado … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Orange Co… vs Memphis 9… | 0-1 |
| Oct 27 | Orange Co… vs Alloa Ath… | 3-2 |
Sacramento Republic Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21 | Sacrament… vs Rhode Isl… | 0-2 |
| Jun 19 | Sacrament… vs Birmingha… | 1-0 |
| Jun 15 | Sacrament… vs San Anton… | 0-0 |
| Jun 08 | Sacrament… vs FC UFA | 0-1 |
| May 18 | Sacrament… vs Las Vegas… | 5-0 |
| May 11 | Sacrament… vs Indy Elev… | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Sacrament… vs Oakland R… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Sacrament… vs Orange Co… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sacrament… vs Las Vegas… | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Sacrament… vs Colorado … | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Orange County SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Orange County SC | 2 - 1 | Sacramento Republic | USL Championsh… |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Orange County SC | 0 - 2 | Sacramento Republic | USL Championsh… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 2 | Orange County SC | USL Championsh… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Orange County SC to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Orange County SC Power
0
Sacramento Republic Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.