AI Match Insights

USL League One Cup Jun 29, 2025

Orange County SC

Home
VS
02:00

Sacramento Republic

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Orange County SC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Sacramento Republic Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.20 - 0.82
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Sacramento Republic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Orange County SC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 15 Orange Co… vs El Paso L… 0-3
Jun 08 Orange Co… vs Phoenix R… 3-1
May 25 Orange Co… vs Colorado … 3-1
May 18 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 0-3
May 09 Orange Co… vs North Car… 1-0
May 04 Orange Co… vs FC UFA 2-1
Apr 13 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 2-1
Nov 10 Orange Co… vs Colorado … 2-1
Nov 02 Orange Co… vs Memphis 9… 0-1
Oct 27 Orange Co… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Sacramento Republic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 21 Sacrament… vs Rhode Isl… 0-2
Jun 19 Sacrament… vs Birmingha… 1-0
Jun 15 Sacrament… vs San Anton… 0-0
Jun 08 Sacrament… vs FC UFA 0-1
May 18 Sacrament… vs Las Vegas… 5-0
May 11 Sacrament… vs Indy Elev… 1-1
May 04 Sacrament… vs Oakland R… 0-1
Apr 13 Sacrament… vs Orange Co… 2-1
Nov 02 Sacrament… vs Las Vegas… 0-0
Oct 27 Sacrament… vs Colorado … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orange County SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Orange County SC 2 - 1 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Apr 21, 2024 Orange County SC 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Mar 10, 2024 Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orange County SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orange County SC Power 0
Sacramento Republic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.