USL Championship · Apr 13, 2025 02:00
Orange County SC
PWR 46
Sacramento Republic
PWR 56
Orange County SC
PWR 46
2 - 1
FT
Sacramento Republic
PWR 56
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense53
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack52
Defense70
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.9
Orange County … Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Sacramento Rep… Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS45%
Under 2.557%
Orange Coun… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Sacramento … Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Orange County …vs
1.59
Sacramento Rep…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Orange Coun…-5
Gap#5
Sacramento …
WR 34% 47 pts
WR 44% 58 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 47 | 47 |
| Sacramento Repu… | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 58 |
Orange County …
14.0%
| Nov 10 | Orange … v Colorad… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Orange … v Memphis… | 0-1 |
| Oct 27 | Orange … v Alloa A… | 3-2 |
| Oct 20 | Orange … v New Mex… | 0-0 |
| Oct 17 | Orange … v El Paso… | 0-2 |
| Jul 04 | Orange … v New Mex… | 2-0 |
| May 08 | Orange … v Loudoun… | 1-2 |
| Apr 21 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 2-2 |
Sacramento Rep…
8.0%
| Nov 02 | Sacrame… v Las Veg… | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Sacrame… v Colorad… | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Sacrame… v El Paso… | 2-1 |
| Oct 13 | Sacrame… v Memphis… | 0-0 |
| Jul 21 | Sacrame… v Oakland… | 2-5 |
| Jul 10 | Sacrame… v Seattle… | 1-2 |
| Jun 16 | Sacrame… v Oakland… | 2-3 |
| May 22 | Sacrame… v San Jos… | 4-3 |
| May 08 | Sacrame… v Monterr… | 2-0 |
| Apr 21 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 21, 2024 | Orange County… | 0-2 | Sacramento Re… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sacramento Re… | 2-2 | Orange County… |
Key Factors
Orange County SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.