USL Championship · Apr 21, 2024 02:00

Orange County SC
PWR 46
0 - 2
FT

Sacramento Republic
PWR 56
32% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 0-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 5
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense53
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack52
Defense70
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.9
Orange County … Form D
STABLE
Sacramento Rep… Form DWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS67%
Under 2.535%
Orange Coun… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Sacramento … Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Orange County …
vs
1.85
Sacramento Rep…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum50%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Orange Coun…
-5
Gap
#5
Sacramento …
WR 34% 47 pts WR 44% 58 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Orange County SC35121112484747
Sacramento Repu…36161010533158
Orange County … 10.0%
Mar 10 Orange … v Sacrame… 2-2
Sacramento Rep… 16.7%
Mar 10 Sacrame… v Orange … 2-2
Sep 03 Sacrame… v Oakland… 0-1
May 21 Sacrame… v Oakland… 3-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 10, 2024 Sacramento Re… 2-2 Orange County…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.