Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jun 23, 2025 23:00
Cerro Largo
PWR 35
Plaza Colonia
PWR 50
Cerro Largo
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Plaza Colonia
PWR 50
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cerro Largo to win (87% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
87%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Cerro Largo Form
WLDDW
STABLE
Plaza Colonia Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS49%
Under 2.540%
Cerro Largo Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Plaza Colon… Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Cerro Largovs
0.75
Plaza ColoniaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Cerro Largo+15
Gap#20
Plaza Colon…
WR 29% 20 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 20 |
| Plaza Colonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Cerro Largo
12.0%
| May 03 | Cerro L… v Plaza C… | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Cerro L… v Club Na… | 0-4 |
| Mar 25 | Cerro L… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Cerro L… v Juventud | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Cerro L… v Progreso | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Cerro L… v Defenso… | 3-0 |
| Nov 19 | Cerro L… v Rangers… | 4-0 |
| Nov 13 | Cerro L… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Cerro L… v River P… | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Cerro L… v Boston … | 3-0 |
Plaza Colonia
12.0%
| May 03 | Plaza C… v Cerro L… | 2-1 |
| Nov 16 | Plaza C… v Oriental | 1-2 |
| Nov 10 | Plaza C… v Cerrito | 1-0 |
| Nov 04 | Plaza C… v Juventud | 0-1 |
| Oct 29 | Plaza C… v Club Na… | 4-0 |
| Oct 19 | Plaza C… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Oct 13 | Plaza C… v Albion … | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Plaza C… v Colón | 0-2 |
| Feb 29 | Plaza C… v Defenso… | 0-1 |
| Dec 08 | Plaza C… v Boston … | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 03, 2025 | Cerro Largo | 2-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Cerro Largo | 4-0 | Plaza Colonia |
Key Factors
Plaza Colonia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.