AI Match Insights

UEFA Champions League Nov 26, 2024

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
20:00

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Paris Saint Germain Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.18 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Bayern Munich Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 3-0
Nov 22 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 3-0
Nov 09 Bayern Mu… vs FC St. Pa… 0-1
Nov 09 Bayern Mu… vs FC St. Pa… 0-1
Nov 02 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 3-0
Nov 02 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 3-0
Oct 30 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 0-4
Oct 27 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Bochum 0-5
Oct 19 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 4-0
Oct 19 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 4-0
Paris Saint Germain Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Paris Sai… vs Marseille 0-3
Oct 19 Paris Sai… vs Strasbourg 4-2
Sep 27 Paris Sai… vs Rennes FC 3-1
Sep 01 Paris Sai… vs Lille 1-3
Aug 16 Paris Sai… vs LE Havre … 1-4
May 25 Paris Sai… vs Lyon 1-2
May 19 Paris Sai… vs Metz 0-2
May 15 Paris Sai… vs Nice 1-2
May 12 Paris Sai… vs Toulouse 1-3
May 07 Paris Sai… vs Borussia … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Bayern Munich to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayern Munich Power 70
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bayern Munich Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Paris Saint Germain Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.