AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Feb 18, 2024

Botafogo

Home
VS
19:00

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Vasco DA Gama Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Botafogo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 0-3
Jan 31 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 31 Botafogo vs Portugues… 1-1
Jan 27 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 20 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 07 Botafogo vs Oeste 2-1
Dec 07 Botafogo vs Internaci… 3-1
Dec 03 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 1-1
Nov 26 Botafogo vs Santos 1-1
Vasco DA Gama Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 0-0
Feb 04 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 0-0
Jan 31 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 2-0
Jan 26 Vasco DA … vs Madureira… 2-0
Jan 18 Vasco DA … vs Boavista 2-0
Dec 07 Vasco DA … vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Dec 03 Vasco DA … vs Remo 1-0
Nov 29 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 2-4
Nov 25 Vasco DA … vs Athletico… 0-0
Nov 22 Vasco DA … vs Cruzeiro 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Botafogo Serie A
Jul 02, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Botafogo to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Botafogo Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.