AI Match Insights

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UEFA Champions League Nov 26, 2025

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
20:00

Tottenham

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Tottenham Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.95 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Tottenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Paris Saint Germain Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Paris Saiā€¦ vs LE Havre ā€¦ 3-0
Nov 09 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lyon 2-3
Nov 04 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Bayern Muā€¦ 1-2
Nov 01 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Nice 1-0
Oct 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lorient 1-1
Oct 25 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-3
Oct 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Bayer Levā€¦ 2-7
Oct 17 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 3-3
Oct 05 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-1
Oct 01 Paris Saiā€¦ vs FC Barcelā€¦ 1-2
Tottenham Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Tottenham vs Arsenal 4-1
Nov 08 Tottenham vs Manchesteā€¦ 2-2
Nov 04 Tottenham vs FC Copenhā€¦ 4-0
Nov 01 Tottenham vs Chelsea 0-1
Oct 29 Tottenham vs Newcastleā€¦ 2-0
Oct 26 Tottenham vs Everton 0-3
Oct 22 Tottenham vs Monaco 0-0
Oct 19 Tottenham vs Aston Vilā€¦ 1-2
Oct 04 Tottenham vs Leeds 1-2
Sep 30 Tottenham vs BodĆø/Glimt 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tottenham struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 13, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Tottenham UEFA Super Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Tottenham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Paris Saint Germain Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Tottenham Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.