AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Nov 22, 2025

Bolton

Home
VS
15:00

Brentford

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Brentford Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.07 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Brentford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Bolton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Bolton vs Woking 1-1
Nov 15 Bolton vs Rotherham… 0-0
Nov 11 Bolton vs Oldham 2-6
Nov 08 Bolton vs Rochdale 1-3
Nov 08 Bolton vs Port Vale 4-0
Nov 08 Bolton vs Stockport 0-3
Nov 05 Bolton vs Altrincham 1-0
Nov 01 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Oct 31 Bolton vs Forest Gr… 4-3
Oct 28 Bolton vs Brighton … 3-1
Brentford Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Brentford vs Doncaster 3-1
Nov 09 Brentford vs Newcastle… 3-1
Nov 08 Brentford vs Brighton 1-2
Nov 01 Brentford vs Crystal P… 2-0
Nov 01 Brentford vs Chelsea 1-0
Oct 28 Brentford vs Grimsby 0-5
Oct 28 Brentford vs Lincoln 0-0
Oct 25 Brentford vs Stevenage 1-1
Oct 25 Brentford vs Liverpool 3-2
Oct 20 Brentford vs West Ham 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brentford struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Brentford 2 - 1 Bolton League One
Apr 20, 2024 Bolton 1 - 5 Brentford Pro League
Dec 02, 2023 Brentford 3 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Mar 06, 2021 Brentford 1 - 1 Bolton League Two
Oct 27, 2020 Bolton 1 - 0 Brentford League Two
Sep 05, 2020 Bolton 1 - 2 Brentford League Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
Bolton Power 39
Brentford Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.