AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 16, 2025

Barnsley

Home
VS
14:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Barnsley Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bolton Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.53 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Barnsley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Barnsley Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Barnsley vs Bolton 4-1
Dec 26 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-2
May 07 Barnsley vs Bolton 2-3
May 03 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-3
Mar 05 Barnsley vs Bolton 2-2
Feb 03 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-1
May 19 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-0
May 13 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-1
Jan 02 Barnsley vs Bolton 0-3
Bolton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Bolton vs Sheffield… 3-3
Aug 12 Bolton vs Leeds Uni… 4-0
Aug 12 Bolton vs Coventry 1-0
Aug 09 Bolton vs Middlesbr… 2-1
Aug 09 Bolton vs Plymouth 2-0
Aug 09 Bolton vs Peterboro… 0-2
Aug 03 Bolton vs Stockport 2-0
Aug 01 Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Jul 26 Bolton vs Peterboro… 1-0
May 05 Bolton vs Maidenhead 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barnsley in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Barnsley 4 - 1 Bolton League One
Dec 26, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Barnsley League One
May 07, 2024 Bolton 2 - 3 Barnsley League One
May 03, 2024 Barnsley 1 - 3 Bolton League One
Mar 05, 2024 Barnsley 2 - 2 Bolton League One
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
May 19, 2023 Barnsley 1 - 0 Bolton League One
May 13, 2023 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
Jan 02, 2023 Barnsley 0 - 3 Bolton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barnsley Power 0
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Barnsley Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Bolton Position
Home Win Rate: 54%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.