Liga Nacional · May 15, 2025 02:00

CD Motagua
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Real Espana
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CD Motagua to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
CD Motagua Form DDWWL
STABLE
Real Espana Form WDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS44%
Under 2.555%
CD Motagua Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Real Espana Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
CD Motagua
vs
0.76
Real Espana
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
CD Motagua
+1
Gap
#3
Real Espana
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
CD Motagua 12.0%
May 04 CD Mota… v Victoria 1-1
Apr 27 CD Mota… v Real Es… 1-1
Apr 20 CD Mota… v CD Olim… 1-2
Apr 13 CD Mota… v Jutical… 5-1
Apr 08 CD Mota… v Lobos U… 2-1
Mar 02 CD Mota… v Victoria 2-1
Feb 23 CD Mota… v Real Es… 2-0
Feb 16 CD Mota… v CD Olim… 0-2
Feb 12 CD Mota… v Jutical… 0-3
Dec 23 CD Mota… v CD Olim… 0-1
Real Espana 12.0%
May 04 Real Es… v Olancho 1-0
Apr 27 Real Es… v CD Mota… 1-1
Apr 21 Real Es… v Victoria 1-1
Apr 13 Real Es… v Lobos U… 2-1
Apr 06 Real Es… v CD Mara… 1-0
Mar 30 Real Es… v CD Olim… 1-1
Mar 06 Real Es… v Génesis 2-0
Mar 01 Real Es… v Olancho 0-3
Feb 23 Real Es… v CD Mota… 2-0
Feb 16 Real Es… v Victoria 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Apr 27, 2025 CD Motagua 1-1 Real Espana
Feb 23, 2025 Real Espana 2-0 CD Motagua
Dec 15, 2024 CD Motagua 1-0 Real Espana
Dec 13, 2024 Real Espana 0-2 CD Motagua
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0-4 Real Espana
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1-0 CD Motagua
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1-1 Real Espana
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.