Cearense - 1 · Mar 22, 2025 19:30
Ceará
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ceará to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (15%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceará Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Fortaleza Form
LWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS35%
Under 2.562%
Ceará Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Fortaleza Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Cearávs
0.56
FortalezaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Ceará0
Gap#1
Fortaleza
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
Ceará
18.0%
| Mar 19 | Ceará v Figueir… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Ceará v Confian… | 2-2 |
| Feb 19 | Ceará v Sergipe | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 1-2 |
| Jan 29 | Ceará v Iguatu | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Ceará v Pague M… | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Ceará v GuaranĂ… | 0-0 |
| Nov 19 | Ceará v América… | 1-0 |
Fortaleza
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Fortale… v Floresta | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Fortale… v Horizon… | 1-3 |
| Dec 08 | Fortale… v Interna… | 3-0 |
| Dec 05 | Fortale… v Athleti… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
Key Factors
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.