Cearense - 1 · Mar 15, 2025 19:30
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Ceará
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (16%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fortaleza Form
WWDLW
STABLE
Ceará Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS32%
Under 2.572%
Fortaleza Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Ceará Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Fortalezavs
0.60
CearáDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings35%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Fortaleza0
Gap#1
Ceará
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Fortale… v Floresta | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Fortale… v Horizon… | 1-3 |
| Dec 08 | Fortale… v Interna… | 3-0 |
| Dec 05 | Fortale… v Athleti… | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
Ceará
18.0%
| Mar 13 | Ceará v Confian… | 2-2 |
| Feb 19 | Ceará v Sergipe | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 1-2 |
| Jan 29 | Ceará v Iguatu | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Ceará v Pague M… | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Ceará v GuaranĂ… | 0-0 |
| Nov 19 | Ceará v América… | 1-0 |
| Nov 13 | Ceará v Botafogo | 1-4 |
| Nov 03 | Ceará v Avaà | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.