Predictions Match Details
Cearense - 1 · Feb 08, 2025 19:30

Fortaleza
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Ceará
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Fortaleza to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fortaleza Form WWWWL
UP
Ceará Form WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS18%
Under 2.577%
Fortaleza Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Ceará Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Fortaleza
vs
0.28
Ceará
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings35%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Fortaleza
0
Gap
#1
Ceará
WR 50% 4 pts WR 100% 6 pts
Fortaleza 16.0%
Feb 01 Fortale… v Floresta 0-1
Jan 30 Fortale… v Maracan… 1-0
Jan 25 Fortale… v Horizon… 1-3
Dec 08 Fortale… v Interna… 3-0
Dec 05 Fortale… v Athleti… 3-1
Dec 01 Fortale… v Vitoria 2-0
Nov 26 Fortale… v Flamengo 0-0
Nov 24 Fortale… v Ceará II 3-1
Nov 23 Fortale… v Flumine… 2-2
Nov 14 Fortale… v Caucaia 1-0
Ceará 18.0%
Jan 29 Ceará v Iguatu 1-0
Jan 26 Ceará v Ferrovi… 1-2
Jan 18 Ceará v Pague M… 2-1
Nov 24 Ceará v Guaraní… 0-0
Nov 19 Ceará v América… 1-0
Nov 13 Ceará v Botafogo 1-4
Nov 03 Ceará v Avaí 2-0
Oct 26 Ceará v Paysand… 2-1
May 24 Ceará v CRB 0-1
May 02 Ceará v CRB 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 06, 2024 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Mar 30, 2024 Fortaleza 0-0 Ceará
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Feb 17, 2024 Fortaleza 3-3 Ceará
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2-2 Fortaleza
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5)
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.