Cearense - 1 · Apr 06, 2024 19:40
Ceará
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ceará to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceará Form
DWDWD
STABLE
Fortaleza Form
DLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS54%
Under 2.551%
Ceará Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Fortaleza Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Cearávs
1.19
FortalezaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Ceará0
Gap#1
Fortaleza
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
Ceará
14.0%
| Mar 30 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Ceará v Fortale… | 3-3 |
| Jan 27 | Ceará v Floresta | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Ceará v Juventu… | 1-3 |
| Nov 18 | Ceará v Vila No… | 3-1 |
| Apr 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 2-2 |
| Mar 18 | Ceará v Iguatu | 2-0 |
Fortaleza
10.0%
| Mar 30 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Fortale… v Ceará | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 3-0 |
| Mar 10 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Fortale… v Ceará | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Iguatu | 3-1 |
| Jan 20 | Fortale… v Horizon… | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Fortale… v Santos | 1-2 |
| Dec 03 | Fortale… v Goiás | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.