Copa do Nordeste · Mar 21, 2024 00:30
Fortaleza
PWR 79
Ceará
PWR 47
Fortaleza
PWR 79
0 - 1
FT
Ceará
PWR 47
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Fortaleza to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack85
Defense80
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.6
Attack26
Defense65
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.0
Fortaleza Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Ceará Form
DWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS67%
Under 2.538%
Fortaleza Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Ceará Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Fortalezavs
1.12
CearáDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Fortaleza+3
Gap#5
Ceará
WR 71% 15 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 15 |
| Ceará | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Mar 17 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 3-0 |
| Mar 10 | Fortale… v Maracan… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Fortale… v Ceará | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Fortale… v Iguatu | 3-1 |
| Jan 20 | Fortale… v Horizon… | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Fortale… v Santos | 1-2 |
| Dec 03 | Fortale… v Goiás | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Fortale… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 2-2 |
Ceará
12.0%
| Mar 16 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Ceará v Fortale… | 3-3 |
| Jan 27 | Ceará v Floresta | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Ceará v Juventu… | 1-3 |
| Nov 18 | Ceará v Vila No… | 3-1 |
| Apr 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 2-2 |
| Mar 18 | Ceará v Iguatu | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Ceará v Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Ceará v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.