Predictions Match Details
Cearense - 1 · Feb 17, 2024 19:40

Fortaleza
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT

Ceará
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fortaleza Form DWWWW
STABLE
Ceará Form WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS44%
Under 2.537%
Fortaleza Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Ceará Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Fortaleza
vs
0.62
Ceará
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings35%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Fortaleza
0
Gap
#1
Ceará
WR 50% 4 pts WR 100% 6 pts
Fortaleza 18.0%
Feb 07 Fortale… v Ferrovi… 1-1
Jan 31 Fortale… v Iguatu 3-1
Jan 20 Fortale… v Horizon… 2-0
Dec 07 Fortale… v Santos 1-2
Dec 03 Fortale… v Goiás 1-0
Nov 30 Fortale… v RB Brag… 1-2
Nov 26 Fortale… v Palmeir… 2-2
Nov 23 Fortale… v Botafogo 2-2
Nov 18 Fortale… v Cruzeiro 0-1
Nov 02 Fortale… v Atletic… 3-1
Ceará 10.0%
Jan 27 Ceará v Floresta 1-0
Nov 25 Ceará v Juventu… 1-3
Nov 18 Ceará v Vila No… 3-1
Apr 08 Ceará v Fortale… 2-2
Mar 18 Ceará v Iguatu 2-0
Mar 12 Ceará v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 31 Ceará v Ferrovi… 1-1
Jan 22 Ceará v Ferrovi… 3-0
Oct 27 Ceará v Interna… 2-1
Sep 04 Ceará v Flamengo 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2-2 Fortaleza
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.