AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 16, 2025

RB Bragantino

Home
VS
22:00

Atletico-MG

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
RB Bragantino Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Atletico-MG Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.20 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.1 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
RB Bragantino Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 0-1
Nov 05 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 2-1
Nov 02 RB Bragan… vs Bahia 2-1
Oct 26 RB Bragan… vs Vasco DA … 0-3
Oct 20 RB Bragan… vs Juventude 1-0
Oct 15 RB Bragan… vs Palmeiras 5-1
Oct 04 RB Bragan… vs Remo 1-0
Oct 01 RB Bragan… vs Mirassol 1-1
Sep 30 RB Bragan… vs Remo 2-4
Sep 28 RB Bragan… vs Santos 2-2
Atletico-MG Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Atletico-… vs Fortaleza 3-3
Nov 08 Atletico-… vs Sport Rec… 2-4
Nov 05 Atletico-… vs Bahia 3-0
Nov 02 Atletico-… vs Internaci… 0-0
Oct 25 Atletico-… vs Ceará 1-0
Oct 18 Atletico-… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Oct 16 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Oct 08 Atletico-… vs Sport Rec… 3-1
Oct 04 Atletico-… vs Fluminense 3-0
Oct 01 Atletico-… vs Juventude 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico-MG in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • RB Bragantino struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2025 Atletico-MG 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
Sep 22, 2024 Atletico-MG 3 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Jun 12, 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Oct 26, 2023 RB Bragantino 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jun 10, 2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
Sep 07, 2022 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 11, 2022 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Dec 05, 2021 Atletico-MG 4 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
Aug 29, 2021 RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Jan 11, 2021 RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Atletico-MG Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: RB Bragantino to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Bragantino Power 0
Atletico-MG Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

RB Bragantino Position

+13

Position Gap

14

Atletico-MG Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.