Eerste Divisie · Mar 14, 2025 19:00
Emmen
PWR 35
Utrecht
PWR 30
Emmen
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Utrecht
PWR 30
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Emmen to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack36
Defense35
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Emmen Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Utrecht Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Emmen Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Utrecht Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Emmenvs
1.07
UtrechtDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Emmen+11
Gap#17
Utrecht
WR 52% 143 pts
WR 19% 51 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 85 | 44 | 11 | 30 | 141 | 115 | 143 |
| Utrecht | 65 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 66 | 121 | 51 |
Emmen
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Emmen v ADO Den… | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Emmen v Helmond… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Emmen v FC OSS | 0-4 |
| Dec 20 | Emmen v Den Bos… | 0-3 |
| Dec 13 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Emmen v ADO Den… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 4-2 |
| Oct 31 | Emmen v Koninkl… | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Emmen v FC OSS | 2-0 |
Utrecht
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Utrecht v Willem … | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Utrecht v Jong AZ | 5-1 |
| Mar 01 | Utrecht v NAC Bre… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Utrecht v PSV Ein… | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Utrecht v Almere … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Utrecht v Heracles | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Utrecht v Zwolle | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Utrecht v Roda | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Utrecht v Heracles | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Utrecht v De Graa… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 30, 2024 | Utrecht | 1-2 | Emmen |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Utrecht | 2-3 | Emmen |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Emmen | 2-0 | Utrecht |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Emmen | 2-0 | Utrecht |
| Oct 01, 2021 | Utrecht | 0-1 | Emmen |
Key Factors
Emmen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.