AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 29, 2024

Bari

Home
VS
14:00

Spezia

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Bari Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Spezia Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.89 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Bari Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Bari vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 26 Bari vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 25 Bari vs Zira 2-0
Dec 21 Bari vs Sudtirol 0-1
Dec 21 Bari vs Sudtirol 0-1
Dec 13 Bari vs Pisa 2-0
Dec 07 Bari vs Cosenza 1-0
Dec 07 Bari vs Cosenza 1-0
Nov 30 Bari vs Brescia 1-1
Nov 24 Bari vs Cittadella 3-2
Spezia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Spezia vs Mantova 1-1
Dec 21 Spezia vs Catanzaro 0-1
Dec 14 Spezia vs Sampdoria 0-0
Dec 14 Spezia vs Sampdoria 0-0
Dec 08 Spezia vs Cittadella 5-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 10 Spezia vs Juve Stab… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bari struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Bari Serie B
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Bari Pro League
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Serie B
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bari to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bari Power 27
Spezia Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Bari Position

-2

Position Gap

17

Spezia Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.