Predictions Match Details
Serie B · Dec 15, 2023 19:30

Spezia
PWR 30
1 - 0
FT

Bari
PWR 27
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Spezia to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Spezia Form WLLLD
STABLE
Bari Form WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS10%
Under 2.593%
Spezia Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Bari Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Spezia
vs
0.20
Bari
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Spezia
+1
Gap
#19
Bari
WR 25% 21 pts WR 8% 20 pts
Spezia 6.0%
Dec 09 Spezia v Ascoli 1-2
Dec 02 Spezia v Parma 0-1
Nov 24 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Nov 24 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Oct 23 Spezia v Palermo 2-2
Aug 20 Spezia v Sudtirol 3-3
Apr 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-1
Sep 17 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Jan 23 Spezia v Sampdor… 1-0
Oct 22 Spezia v Sampdor… 2-1
Bari 10.0%
Dec 09 Bari v Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 09 Bari v Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 03 Bari v Lecce 1-0
Nov 25 Bari v Venezia 0-3
Sep 24 Bari v Catanza… 2-2
Aug 18 Bari v Palermo 0-0
Jul 23 Bari v Pescara 5-0
Jun 02 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
May 29 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
Apr 10 Bari v Sudtirol 0-1
Key Factors
Spezia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.