Copa Argentina · May 23, 2025 00:10

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 45
0 - 2
FT

Newell’s Old Boys
PWR 50
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack40
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Defensa y Just… Form LLDDL
DOWN
Newell’s Old B… Form LWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS29%
Under 2.579%
Defensa y J… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Newell’s Ol… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Defensa y Just…
vs
0.86
Newell’s Old B…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#22
Defensa y J…
-9
Gap
#13
Newell’s Ol…
WR 40% 6 pts WR 43% 11 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Defensa y Justi…5203566
Newell’s Old Bo…73228711
Defensa y Just… 4.0%
May 02 Defensa… v Indepen… 3-2
Apr 28 Defensa… v Racing … 1-2
Apr 19 Defensa… v Huracan 1-1
Apr 14 Defensa… v Unión S… 0-0
Apr 06 Defensa… v Argenti… 4-1
Mar 28 Defensa… v Tigre 1-2
Mar 16 Defensa… v Boca Ju… 4-0
Mar 09 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-0
Mar 05 Defensa… v Platense 0-1
Feb 24 Defensa… v Belgran… 2-0
Newell’s Old B… 12.0%
May 02 Newell’… v Racing … 1-0
Apr 29 Newell’… v Huracan 2-0
Apr 19 Newell’… v Unión S… 1-1
Apr 12 Newell’… v Argenti… 0-0
Apr 08 Newell’… v Tigre 0-2
Apr 04 Newell’… v Kimberl… 0-0
Mar 30 Newell’… v Boca Ju… 2-0
Mar 15 Newell’… v Estudia… 1-1
Mar 10 Newell’… v Belgran… 0-0
Mar 04 Newell’… v Atlétic… 1-2
Head-to-Head (8)
Feb 12, 2025 Newell’s Old … 0-1 Defensa y Jus…
May 25, 2024 Newell’s Old … 1-0 Defensa y Jus…
Apr 17, 2024 Defensa y Jus… 1-0 Newell’s Old …
Nov 28, 2023 Newell’s Old … 3-0 Defensa y Jus…
Feb 11, 2023 Defensa y Jus… 1-0 Newell’s Old …
Jul 25, 2022 Newell’s Old … 1-2 Defensa y Jus…
Feb 11, 2022 Newell’s Old … 1-0 Defensa y Jus…
Aug 25, 2021 Defensa y Jus… 2-0 Newell’s Old …
Key Factors
Defensa y Justicia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.