AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Sep 21, 2024

Boca Juniors

Home
VS
19:00

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Boca Juniors Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
River Plate Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.85 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Boca Juniors Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Boca Juni… vs Talleres … 1-1
Aug 27 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Jun 20 Boca Juni… vs Almirante… 2-1
Apr 30 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Apr 21 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 2-3
Apr 13 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-0
Apr 06 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 1-3
Mar 23 Boca Juni… vs Central N… 3-0
Feb 25 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 1-1
Feb 05 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 0-2
River Plate Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-1
Jul 09 River Pla… vs Millonari… 1-1
Jun 02 River Pla… vs Tigre 3-1
May 22 River Pla… vs Temperley 1-1
Apr 21 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 2-3
Apr 08 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 2-1
Mar 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-1
Feb 25 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Feb 04 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 5-0
Feb 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 River Plate 2 - 3 Boca Juniors Copa de la Lig…
Feb 25, 2024 River Plate 1 - 1 Boca Juniors Copa de la Lig…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boca Juniors to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boca Juniors Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Boca Juniors Position

+1

Position Gap

2

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.