AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CampeĂłn de Campeones Jul 21, 2025

Club América

Home
VS
01:15

Toluca

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Club América Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Toluca Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.88 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 3-1
Jul 12 Club Amér… vs FC Juarez 1-1
May 26 Club Amér… vs Toluca 2-0
May 23 Club Amér… vs Toluca 0-0
May 19 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
May 16 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 11 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-0
May 08 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 0-0
Apr 19 Club Amér… vs Mazatlán … 5-0
Apr 17 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 1-0
Toluca Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-4
Jul 13 Toluca vs Necaxa 3-1
May 26 Toluca vs Club Amér… 2-0
May 23 Toluca vs Club Amér… 0-0
May 18 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 3-0
May 15 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 1-1
May 11 Toluca vs Monterrey 2-1
May 08 Toluca vs Monterrey 3-2
Apr 20 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 17 Toluca vs Atletico … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toluca in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 26, 2025 Toluca 2 - 0 Club América Liga MX
May 23, 2025 Club América 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Mar 01, 2025 Club América 3 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 Toluca 0 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Club América to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Toluca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.