Serie A · Aug 25, 2024 18:45

Napoli
PWR 40
3 - 0
FT

Bologna
PWR 36
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Napoli to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (50%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Napoli Form LLDDD
DOWN
Bologna Form DDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS9%
Under 2.597%
Napoli Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Bologna Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Napoli
vs
0.40
Bologna
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Napoli
+7
Gap
#10
Bologna
WR 73% 49 pts WR 33% 30 pts
Napoli 6.0%
Aug 18 Napoli v Verona 3-0
Aug 18 Napoli v Verona 3-0
Aug 10 Napoli v Monza 0-0
May 26 Napoli v Lecce 0-0
May 26 Napoli v Lecce 0-0
May 17 Napoli v Fiorent… 2-2
May 17 Napoli v Fiorent… 2-2
May 11 Napoli v Bologna 0-2
May 11 Napoli v Bologna 0-2
May 06 Napoli v Udinese 1-1
Bologna 6.0%
Aug 18 Bologna v Udinese 1-1
Aug 18 Bologna v Udinese 1-1
May 24 Bologna v Genoa 2-0
May 24 Bologna v Genoa 2-0
May 20 Bologna v Juventus 3-3
May 20 Bologna v Juventus 3-3
May 11 Bologna v Napoli 0-2
May 11 Bologna v Napoli 0-2
May 03 Bologna v Torino 0-0
May 03 Bologna v Torino 0-0
Head-to-Head (7)
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0-2 Bologna
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Sep 24, 2023 Bologna 0-0 Napoli
May 28, 2023 Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0-2 Napoli
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3-0 Bologna
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.