Predictions Match Details
Premiership · Jan 05, 2025 14:30

Motherwell
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Aberdeen
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Motherwell to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Motherwell Form LDLDW
STABLE
Aberdeen Form LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS65%
Under 2.538%
Motherwell Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Aberdeen Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Motherwell
vs
1.07
Aberdeen
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Motherwell
+3
Gap
#7
Aberdeen
WR 67% 43 pts WR 33% 28 pts
Motherwell 8.0%
Jan 02 Motherw… v Heart o… 1-0
Dec 29 Motherw… v Rangers… 2-2
Dec 26 Motherw… v Celtic 4-0
Dec 20 Motherw… v Kilmarn… 1-1
Dec 14 Motherw… v Dundee … 4-3
Dec 07 Motherw… v St. Mir… 0-1
Dec 04 Motherw… v Dundee … 4-1
Nov 30 Motherw… v Hiberni… 0-3
Nov 23 Motherw… v Ross Co… 2-1
Nov 03 Motherw… v Rangers… 1-2
Aberdeen 2.0%
Dec 29 Aberdeen v Dundee … 1-0
Dec 26 Aberdeen v Kilmarn… 4-0
Dec 21 Aberdeen v Hiberni… 1-3
Dec 04 Aberdeen v Celtic 0-1
Nov 26 Aberdeen v Hiberni… 3-3
Nov 23 Aberdeen v St. Mir… 2-1
Nov 09 Aberdeen v Dundee … 4-1
Nov 02 Aberdeen v Celtic 6-0
Oct 30 Aberdeen v Rangers… 2-1
Oct 26 Aberdeen v Dundee … 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3-3 Motherwell
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Key Factors
Aberdeen struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.