Premiership · Mar 16, 2024 15:00
Motherwell
PWR 35
Aberdeen
PWR 35
Motherwell
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Aberdeen
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Motherwell Form
WWLLD
STABLE
Aberdeen Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS31%
Under 2.543%
Motherwell Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Aberdeen Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Motherwellvs
0.38
AberdeenDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Motherwell+3
Gap#7
Aberdeen
WR 67% 43 pts
WR 33% 28 pts
Motherwell
10.0%
| Mar 02 | Motherw… v Rangers… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Motherw… v Livings… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | Motherw… v Celtic | 1-3 |
| Feb 17 | Motherw… v Heart o… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Motherw… v Aberdeen | 3-3 |
| Feb 09 | Motherw… v Morton | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Motherw… v Ross Co… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Motherw… v Kilmarn… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Motherw… v Alloa A… | 3-1 |
| Jan 02 | Motherw… v Hiberni… | 2-2 |
Aberdeen
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Aberdeen v St. Mir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Aberdeen v Hiberni… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 3-3 |
| Feb 10 | Aberdeen v Bonnyri… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Aberdeen v Rangers… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Aberdeen v Celtic | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 14, 2024 | Aberdeen | 3-3 | Motherwell |
| Nov 01, 2023 | Motherwell | 2-4 | Aberdeen |
Key Factors
Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.