AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Jan 24, 2024

Kayanza United

Home
VS
13:00

Musongati

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Kayanza United Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Musongati Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.06 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kayanza United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Musongati Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Kayanza United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Kayanza U… vs Musongati 2-0
Oct 07 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-0
Sep 17 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 0-0
Feb 19 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-0
Jan 29 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 2-1
Nov 27 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 1-0
Oct 22 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
May 07 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
Mar 13 Kayanza U… vs Aigle Noir 0-1
Nov 27 Kayanza U… vs Rukinzo 1-1
Musongati Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Musongati vs Kayanza U… 2-0
Oct 22 Musongati vs Flambeau … 0-0
Oct 18 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-1
Oct 07 Musongati vs Dynamik 2-0
May 20 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 3-1
Apr 22 Musongati vs Dynamik 3-2
Feb 12 Musongati vs Flambeau … 1-1
Nov 16 Musongati vs Flambeau … 2-2
Sep 11 Musongati vs Dynamik 0-0
Aug 14 Musongati vs Aigle Noir 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kayanza United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Musongati struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 19, 2023 Musongati 2 - 0 Kayanza United Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kayanza United Power 0
Musongati Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Kayanza United Position

-6

Position Gap

4

Musongati Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.