Virsliga · Sep 27, 2024 15:00

BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44

Metta / LU
PWR 30

BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
1 - 1
FT

Metta / LU
PWR 30
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: BFC Daugavpils to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack38
Defense28
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.1
BFC Daugavpils Form
LWW
STABLE
Metta / LU Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS35%
Under 2.543%
BFC Daugavp… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Metta / LU Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
BFC Daugavpilsvs
0.44
Metta / LUDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
BFC Daugavp…+5
Gap#9
Metta / LU
WR 38% 55 pts
WR 23% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 60 | 66 | 55 |
| Metta / LU | 40 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 43 | 82 | 35 |
BFC Daugavpils
13.3%
| Jul 07 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 3-2 |
| May 16 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 4-0 |
| Apr 03 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 0-1 |
Metta / LU
4.0%
| Jul 07 | Metta /… v BFC Dau… | 3-2 |
| May 16 | Metta /… v BFC Dau… | 4-0 |
| Apr 03 | Metta /… v BFC Dau… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Metta /… v Paide | 6-2 |
| Feb 18 | Metta /… v Paide | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Metta /… v Panevėž… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 07, 2024 | Metta / LU | 3-2 | BFC Daugavpils |
| May 16, 2024 | BFC Daugavpils | 4-0 | Metta / LU |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Metta / LU | 0-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
Key Factors
Metta / LU struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.