Virsliga · Sep 27, 2024 15:00

BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
1 - 1
FT

Metta / LU
PWR 30
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: BFC Daugavpils to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack38
Defense28
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.1
BFC Daugavpils Form LWW
STABLE
Metta / LU Form WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS35%
Under 2.543%
BFC Daugavp… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Metta / LU Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
BFC Daugavpils
vs
0.44
Metta / LU
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
BFC Daugavp…
+5
Gap
#9
Metta / LU
WR 38% 55 pts WR 23% 35 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
BFC Daugavpils40151015606655
Metta / LU409823438235
BFC Daugavpils 13.3%
Jul 07 BFC Dau… v Metta /… 3-2
May 16 BFC Dau… v Metta /… 4-0
Apr 03 BFC Dau… v Metta /… 0-1
Metta / LU 4.0%
Jul 07 Metta /… v BFC Dau… 3-2
May 16 Metta /… v BFC Dau… 4-0
Apr 03 Metta /… v BFC Dau… 0-1
Feb 14 Metta /… v Paide 6-2
Feb 18 Metta /… v Paide 1-0
Jan 28 Metta /… v Panevėž… 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jul 07, 2024 Metta / LU 3-2 BFC Daugavpils
May 16, 2024 BFC Daugavpils 4-0 Metta / LU
Apr 03, 2024 Metta / LU 0-1 BFC Daugavpils
Key Factors
Metta / LU struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.