US Open Cup · Apr 17, 2025 00:00
FC UFA
PWR 33
Phoenix Rising
PWR 45
FC UFA
PWR 33
1 - 1
FT
Phoenix Rising
PWR 45
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC UFA to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack23
Defense42
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.7
Attack47
Defense53
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
FC UFA Form
LWDWL
STABLE
Phoenix Rising Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS37%
Under 2.570%
FC UFA Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Phoenix Ris… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
FC UFAvs
0.83
Phoenix RisingDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
FC UFA-2
Gap#14
Phoenix Ris…
WR 33% 4 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Phoenix Rising | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
FC UFA
10.0%
| Mar 15 | FC UFA v Enisey | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | FC UFA v Phoenix… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | FC UFA v Chayka | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | FC UFA v Monterr… | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | FC UFA v Enisey | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | FC UFA v Alloa A… | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | FC UFA v Chernom… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | FC UFA v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | FC UFA v Arsenal | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | FC UFA v Chayka | 0-1 |
Phoenix Rising
4.0%
| Mar 09 | Phoenix… v FC UFA | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Phoenix… v New Mex… | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Phoenix… v Louisvi… | 4-1 |
| Oct 20 | Phoenix… v Memphis… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Phoenix… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Phoenix… v FC UFA | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Phoenix… v Seattle… | 2-1 |
| May 08 | Phoenix… v North C… | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Phoenix… v FC UFA | 3-3 |
| Nov 13 | Phoenix… v Charles… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 09, 2025 | Phoenix Rising | 0-1 | FC UFA |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Phoenix Rising | 1-0 | FC UFA |
| Apr 06, 2024 | FC UFA | 3-3 | Phoenix Rising |
Key Factors
Phoenix Rising struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.