Primeira Liga · Dec 05, 2025 20:15
Benfica
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Sporting CP
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (17%)
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (11%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Sporting CP Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS33%
Under 2.573%
Benfica Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Sporting CP Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Benficavs
1.14
Sporting CPDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica-1
Gap#2
Sporting CP
WR 60% 46 pts
WR 80% 51 pts
Benfica
16.0%
| Dec 03 | Benfica v Notting… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Benfica v Nacional | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Benfica v Ajax | 0-2 |
| Nov 21 | Benfica v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Nov 21 | Benfica v Atlétic… | 0-2 |
| Nov 19 | Benfica v Paris F… | 2-0 |
| Nov 12 | Benfica v Twente … | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Benfica v Minija | 0-3 |
| Nov 09 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 2-2 |
| Nov 05 | Benfica v Bayer L… | 0-1 |
Sporting CP
16.0%
| Nov 30 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 4-0 |
| Nov 26 | Sportin… v Club Br… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 3-0 |
| Nov 20 | Sportin… v Sunderl… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | Sportin… v Juventus | 1-1 |
| Oct 31 | Sportin… v Alverca | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Sportin… v Alverca | 5-1 |
| Oct 26 | Sportin… v Tondela | 0-3 |
| Oct 22 | Sportin… v Marseil… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jul 31, 2025 | Sporting CP | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 25, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-3 | Benfica |
| May 10, 2025 | Benfica | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | Benfica |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Benfica | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.