AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda DivisiĂłn Nov 16, 2025

UCV Moquegua

Home
VS
18:00

CĂ©sar Vallejo

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
UCV Moquegua Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
CĂ©sar Vallejo Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.91 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UCV Moquegua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
CĂ©sar Vallejo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
UCV Moquegua Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 UCV Moque… vs César Val… 0-1
Nov 02 UCV Moque… vs FC Cajama… 2-0
Oct 26 UCV Moque… vs FC Cajama… 2-1
Oct 19 UCV Moque… vs Union Com… 1-1
Oct 12 UCV Moque… vs Union Com… 2-1
Oct 05 UCV Moque… vs Deportiva… 2-1
Sep 21 UCV Moque… vs César Val… 1-1
Sep 14 UCV Moque… vs Carlos A.… 6-2
Sep 06 UCV Moque… vs FC Cajama… 2-1
Aug 23 UCV Moque… vs Bentín Ta… 0-0
CĂ©sar Vallejo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 César Val… vs UCV Moque… 0-1
Nov 02 César Val… vs Union Com… 2-2
Oct 26 César Val… vs Union Com… 2-0
Oct 19 César Val… vs FC Cajama… 3-0
Oct 12 César Val… vs FC Cajama… 0-0
Oct 05 César Val… vs Comercian… 0-0
Sep 21 César Val… vs UCV Moque… 1-1
Sep 14 César Val… vs Bentín Ta… 1-2
Aug 31 César Val… vs Carlos A.… 3-2
Aug 23 César Val… vs FC Cajama… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 09, 2025 César Vallejo 0 - 1 UCV Moquegua Segunda Divisi…
Sep 21, 2025 César Vallejo 1 - 1 UCV Moquegua Segunda Divisi…
Aug 17, 2025 UCV Moquegua 1 - 0 César Vallejo Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: UCV Moquegua to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UCV Moquegua Power 0
CĂ©sar Vallejo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.