Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Nov 09, 2025 19:30
Juventud
PWR 39
Progreso
PWR 33
Juventud
PWR 39
1 - 1
FT
Progreso
PWR 33
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Juventud to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (41%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (18%)
1-1 (8%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 3% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 3%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack19
Defense70
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G0.9
Attack36
Defense38
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Juventud Form
WLDLD
STABLE
Progreso Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.56%
BTTS13%
Under 2.594%
Juventud Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Progreso Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Juventudvs
0.46
ProgresoDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Juventud-3
Gap#12
Progreso
WR 27% 16 pts
WR 24% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 |
| Progreso | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 24 |
Juventud
8.0%
| Nov 01 | Juventud v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Juventud v Plaza C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 20 | Juventud v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Juventud v River P… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Juventud v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Juventud v Club Na… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Juventud v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Juventud v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Sep 05 | Juventud v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Juventud v Cerrito | 1-0 |
Progreso
8.0%
| Nov 01 | Progreso v Atletic… | 0-5 |
| Oct 26 | Progreso v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Oct 19 | Progreso v Defenso… | 2-3 |
| Oct 10 | Progreso v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Progreso v Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Sep 29 | Progreso v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Progreso v Rangers… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Progreso v River P… | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Progreso v Miramar | 3-2 |
| Aug 31 | Progreso v Boston … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jun 29, 2025 | Juventud | 2-0 | Progreso |
| May 18, 2025 | Progreso | 1-2 | Juventud |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Progreso | 2-1 | Juventud |
| Jul 07, 2023 | Juventud | 1-1 | Progreso |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Juventud | 1-5 | Progreso |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Progreso | 0-1 | Juventud |
| May 16, 2022 | Juventud | 0-0 | Progreso |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Progreso | 2-1 | Juventud |
Key Factors
Progreso struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.