Super League 1 · Dec 07, 2025 17:30

PAOK
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Aris Thessaloniki
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: PAOK to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
PAOK Form DDWWD
STABLE
Aris Thessalon… Form DWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS60%
Under 2.536%
PAOK Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Aris Thessa… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
PAOK
vs
1.08
Aris Thessalon…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
PAOK
+3
Gap
#6
Aris Thessa…
WR 90% 44 pts WR 40% 25 pts
PAOK 14.0%
Dec 06 PAOK v Asteras… 1-1
Dec 03 PAOK v Aris Th… 1-1
Nov 30 PAOK v Levadia… 2-3
Nov 29 PAOK v PAS Gia… 1-0
Nov 27 PAOK v Brann 1-1
Nov 23 PAOK v Kifisia 3-0
Nov 22 PAOK v Anagenn… 2-1
Nov 15 PAOK v Niki Vo… 1-6
Nov 09 PAOK v Panathi… 2-1
Nov 09 PAOK v Kampani… 0-0
Aris Thessalon… 8.0%
Dec 03 Aris Th… v PAOK 1-1
Nov 29 Aris Th… v Larisa 2-1
Nov 23 Aris Th… v AEK Ath… 1-0
Nov 09 Aris Th… v Asteras… 0-0
Nov 01 Aris Th… v Olympia… 2-1
Oct 29 Aris Th… v Egaleo 1-3
Oct 26 Aris Th… v Levadia… 1-1
Oct 19 Aris Th… v Panathi… 1-1
Oct 04 Aris Th… v OFI Cre… 3-0
Sep 27 Aris Th… v Panserr… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 03, 2025 Aris Thessalo… 1-1 PAOK
Jan 19, 2025 Aris Thessalo… 0-0 PAOK
Sep 29, 2024 PAOK 0-1 Aris Thessalo…
May 19, 2024 Aris Thessalo… 1-2 PAOK
Mar 10, 2024 PAOK 0-1 Aris Thessalo…
Jan 07, 2024 Aris Thessalo… 2-1 PAOK
Sep 17, 2023 PAOK 0-0 Aris Thessalo…
Apr 30, 2023 PAOK 3-2 Aris Thessalo…
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessalo… 1-2 PAOK
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1-0 Aris Thessalo…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.