FAI Cup · Oct 05, 2025 17:00

Shamrock Rovers
PWR 66
6 - 1
FT

Derry City
PWR 72
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 6-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_SCORING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack76
Defense71
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack78
Defense62
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.1
Shamrock Rovers Form LWWDD
STABLE
Derry City Form DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS40%
Under 2.539%
Shamrock Ro… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Derry City Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Shamrock Rovers
vs
0.54
Derry City
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Shamrock Ro…
-3
Gap
#1
Derry City
WR 50% 10 pts WR 77% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Shamrock Rovers631213510
Derry City131021291432
Shamrock Rovers 12.0%
Oct 02 Shamroc… v Slavia … 4-1
Sep 26 Shamroc… v Bohemia… 2-1
Sep 22 Shamroc… v Waterfo… 1-2
Sep 19 Shamroc… v Cork Ci… 1-1
Sep 12 Shamroc… v Droghed… 1-1
Aug 31 Shamroc… v Droghed… 2-1
Aug 28 Shamroc… v Santa C… 0-0
Aug 21 Shamroc… v Santa C… 1-2
Aug 17 Shamroc… v Longfor… 2-1
Aug 14 Shamroc… v Ballkani 4-0
Derry City 8.0%
Sep 26 Derry C… v Droghed… 1-1
Sep 26 Derry C… v Treaty … 1-1
Sep 22 Derry C… v Athlone… 0-0
Sep 19 Derry C… v Shelbou… 1-1
Sep 19 Derry C… v UCD 2-1
Sep 12 Derry C… v Bohemia… 3-4
Sep 12 Derry C… v Sligo R… 4-3
Sep 05 Derry C… v Cobh Ra… 1-1
Aug 29 Derry C… v St Patr… 2-2
Aug 29 Derry C… v Dundalk 3-3
Head-to-Head (8)
Aug 03, 2025 Shamrock Rove… 2-0 Derry City
May 23, 2025 Derry City 1-2 Shamrock Rove…
Mar 28, 2025 Shamrock Rove… 0-0 Derry City
Sep 20, 2024 Derry City 1-1 Shamrock Rove…
May 20, 2024 Shamrock Rove… 1-0 Derry City
Apr 19, 2024 Derry City 1-3 Shamrock Rove…
Mar 04, 2024 Shamrock Rove… 2-2 Derry City
Sep 15, 2023 Derry City 1-1 Shamrock Rove…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.