AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
World Cup - Qualification Oceania Nov 17, 2024

Papua New Guinea

Home
VS
06:00

Solomon Islands

Away
AI Predictions 39.5% Confidence
Papua New Guinea Win
39.5%
Draw
26.1%
Solomon Islands Win
34.4%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.00 - 2.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 2.9
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Papua New Guinea Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Solomon Islands Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Papua New Guinea Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Papua New… vs Fiji 3-3
Oct 10 Papua New… vs New Caled… 3-1
Oct 08 Papua New… vs Solomon I… 1-3
Mar 27 Papua New… vs Solomon I… 3-2
Solomon Islands Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Solomon I… vs New Caled… 2-3
Oct 10 Solomon I… vs Fiji 0-1
Jun 18 Solomon I… vs New Zeala… 3-0
Dec 01 Solomon I… vs New Caled… 2-2
Oct 14 Solomon I… vs New Caled… 1-0
Oct 08 Solomon I… vs Papua New… 1-3
Mar 27 Solomon I… vs Papua New… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Papua New Guinea struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Solomon Islands struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Papua New Guinea 1 - 3 Solomon Islands Friendlies
Mar 27, 2022 Solomon Islands 3 - 2 Papua New Guinea World Cup - Qu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Papua New Guinea to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Papua New Guinea Power 0
Solomon Islands Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.