World Cup - Qualification Oceania · Nov 14, 2024 03:00

Solomon Islands
PWR 50
2 - 3
FT

New Caledonia
PWR 60
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Solomon Islands to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense39
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.8
Attack70
Defense51
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Solomon Islands Form LLDWW
DOWN
New Caledonia Form WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS33%
Under 2.543%
Solomon Isl… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
New Caledon… Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Solomon Islands
vs
0.40
New Caledonia
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Solomon Isl…
-1
Gap
#1
New Caledon…
WR 50% 6 pts WR 60% 10 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Solomon Islands4202776
New Caledonia531110710
Solomon Islands 10.0%
Oct 10 Solomon… v Fiji 0-1
Jun 18 Solomon… v New Zea… 3-0
Dec 01 Solomon… v New Cal… 2-2
Oct 14 Solomon… v New Cal… 1-0
Oct 08 Solomon… v Papua N… 1-3
Mar 27 Solomon… v Papua N… 3-2
New Caledonia 6.0%
Oct 10 New Cal… v Papua N… 3-1
Dec 01 New Cal… v Solomon… 2-2
Nov 17 New Cal… v IR Iran… 5-0
Nov 14 New Cal… v Brazil … 9-0
Oct 14 New Cal… v Solomon… 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 01, 2023 Solomon Islan… 2-2 New Caledonia
Oct 14, 2023 Solomon Islan… 1-0 New Caledonia
Key Factors
New Caledonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.