World Cup - Qualification Oceania · Nov 14, 2024 03:00

Solomon Islands
PWR 50

New Caledonia
PWR 60

Solomon Islands
PWR 50
2 - 3
FT

New Caledonia
PWR 60
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Solomon Islands to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense39
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.8
Attack70
Defense51
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Solomon Islands Form
LLDWW
DOWN
New Caledonia Form
WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS33%
Under 2.543%
Solomon Isl… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
New Caledon… Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Solomon Islandsvs
0.40
New CaledoniaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Solomon Isl…-1
Gap#1
New Caledon…
WR 50% 6 pts
WR 60% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Islands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| New Caledonia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
Solomon Islands
10.0%
| Oct 10 | Solomon… v Fiji | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Solomon… v New Zea… | 3-0 |
| Dec 01 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 2-2 |
| Oct 14 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 1-0 |
| Oct 08 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 1-3 |
| Mar 27 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 3-2 |
New Caledonia
6.0%
| Oct 10 | New Cal… v Papua N… | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | New Cal… v Solomon… | 2-2 |
| Nov 17 | New Cal… v IR Iran… | 5-0 |
| Nov 14 | New Cal… v Brazil … | 9-0 |
| Oct 14 | New Cal… v Solomon… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 01, 2023 | Solomon Islan… | 2-2 | New Caledonia |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Solomon Islan… | 1-0 | New Caledonia |
Key Factors
New Caledonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.