League Two · Aug 16, 2025 11:30

Chesterfield
PWR 38

Bristol Rovers
PWR 27

Chesterfield
PWR 38
3 - 1
FT

Bristol Rovers
PWR 27
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Chesterfield to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense60
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Attack27
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Chesterfield Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Bristol Rovers Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS54%
Under 2.539%
Chesterfield Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Bristol Rov… Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Chesterfieldvs
0.88
Bristol RoversDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Chesterfield+11
Gap#19
Bristol Rov…
WR 43% 48 pts
WR 21% 27 pts
Chesterfield
8.0%
| Aug 12 | Chester… v Mansfie… | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | Chester… v Chelsea | 0-2 |
| Aug 02 | Chester… v Barrow | 1-0 |
| May 16 | Chester… v Walsall | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Chester… v Walsall | 0-2 |
| May 03 | Chester… v Accring… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Chester… v Accring… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Chester… v Morecam… | 4-1 |
| Apr 26 | Chester… v Morecam… | 4-1 |
| Apr 21 | Chester… v Brentfo… | 3-3 |
Bristol Rovers
4.0%
| Aug 12 | Bristol… v Cambrid… | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | Bristol… v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | Bristol… v Harroga… | 0-1 |
| Jul 16 | Bristol… v Bath Ci… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Bristol… v Blackpo… | 4-1 |
| Apr 26 | Bristol… v Reading… | 0-2 |
| Apr 21 | Bristol… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Bristol… v Shrewsb… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Bristol… v Cambrid… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Bristol… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 2-0 | Chesterfield |
Key Factors
Chesterfield struggling (3L in last 5)
Bristol Rovers struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.