League Two · Aug 16, 2025 11:30

Chesterfield
PWR 38
3 - 1
FT

Bristol Rovers
PWR 27
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Chesterfield to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack48
Defense60
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Attack27
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Chesterfield Form LWWLL
STABLE
Bristol Rovers Form LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS54%
Under 2.539%
Chesterfield Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Bristol Rov… Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Chesterfield
vs
0.88
Bristol Rovers
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Chesterfield
+11
Gap
#19
Bristol Rov…
WR 43% 48 pts WR 21% 27 pts
Chesterfield 8.0%
Aug 12 Chester… v Mansfie… 0-2
Aug 09 Chester… v Chelsea 0-2
Aug 02 Chester… v Barrow 1-0
May 16 Chester… v Walsall 2-1
May 11 Chester… v Walsall 0-2
May 03 Chester… v Accring… 0-1
May 03 Chester… v Accring… 0-1
Apr 26 Chester… v Morecam… 4-1
Apr 26 Chester… v Morecam… 4-1
Apr 21 Chester… v Brentfo… 3-3
Bristol Rovers 4.0%
Aug 12 Bristol… v Cambrid… 0-2
Aug 09 Bristol… v Fleetwo… 2-1
Aug 02 Bristol… v Harroga… 0-1
Jul 16 Bristol… v Bath Ci… 0-1
May 03 Bristol… v Blackpo… 4-1
Apr 26 Bristol… v Reading… 0-2
Apr 21 Bristol… v Stevena… 0-1
Mar 04 Bristol… v Shrewsb… 0-0
Jan 04 Bristol… v Cambrid… 0-1
Oct 22 Bristol… v Shrewsb… 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 29, 2023 Bristol Rovers 2-0 Chesterfield
Key Factors
Chesterfield struggling (3L in last 5)
Bristol Rovers struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.