AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
World Cup - Qualification South America Sep 09, 2025

Peru

Home
VS
23:30

Paraguay

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Peru Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Paraguay Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.31 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peru Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Paraguay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Peru Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Peru vs CS Uruguay 3-0
Jun 11 Peru vs Ecuador 0-0
Jun 06 Peru vs Colombia … 0-0
Mar 26 Peru vs Venezuela 1-0
Mar 21 Peru vs Olimpia 3-1
Nov 16 Peru vs Chile 0-0
Jun 22 Peru vs Chile 0-0
Nov 16 Peru vs Olimpia 2-0
Oct 13 Peru vs Chile 2-0
Nov 20 Peru vs Olimpia 1-0
Paraguay Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Paraguay vs Ecuador 0-0
Jun 28 Paraguay vs Chile 1-0
Jun 26 Paraguay vs Turkey 5-0
Jun 24 Paraguay vs Venezuela 3-2
Jun 11 Paraguay vs Brazil U17 1-0
Apr 12 Paraguay vs Argentina… 1-1
Apr 01 Paraguay vs Argentina… 4-1
Sep 01 Paraguay vs New Mexic… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Peru to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peru Power 0
Paraguay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.