QSL Cup · Nov 15, 2024 16:30

Al Wakrah
PWR 41
3 - 1
FT

Al Ahli Doha
PWR 36
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al Wakrah to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack69
Defense23
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.2
Attack51
Defense30
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G2.0
Al Wakrah Form DWWLW
STABLE
Al Ahli Doha Form WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS56%
Under 2.546%
Al Wakrah Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Al Ahli Doha Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Al Wakrah
vs
1.17
Al Ahli Doha
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Al Wakrah
+5
Gap
#12
Al Ahli Doha
WR 29% 26 pts WR 27% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Al Wakrah247512475326
Al Ahli Doha15447223016
Al Wakrah 14.0%
Nov 11 Al Wakr… v Al Sham… 1-1
Nov 01 Al Wakr… v UMM Sal… 3-0
Oct 12 Al Wakr… v UMM Sal… 2-0
Sep 14 Al Wakr… v Al-Duha… 0-2
Sep 06 Al Wakr… v Al-Dhaf… 0-3
Aug 23 Al Wakr… v Al Sail… 0-1
Aug 17 Al Wakr… v Al-Arab… 1-1
Aug 11 Al Wakr… v Al Ahli… 2-2
Apr 28 Al Wakr… v Al Ahli… 1-0
Apr 24 Al Wakr… v Al-Dhaf… 2-4
Al Ahli Doha 18.0%
Oct 04 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 0-1
Sep 14 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 0-1
Aug 11 Al Ahli… v Al Wakr… 2-2
Apr 28 Al Ahli… v Al Wakr… 1-0
Mar 12 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 1-3
Dec 08 Al Ahli… v Al Wakr… 3-2
Nov 18 Al Ahli… v Al Wakr… 4-2
Oct 21 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 2-4
Sep 09 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 2-1
May 04 Al Ahli… v Qatar SC 2-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Aug 11, 2024 Al Wakrah 2-2 Al Ahli Doha
Apr 28, 2024 Al Ahli Doha 1-0 Al Wakrah
Dec 08, 2023 Al Wakrah 3-2 Al Ahli Doha
Nov 18, 2023 Al Ahli Doha 4-2 Al Wakrah
Mar 18, 2023 Al Wakrah 5-2 Al Ahli Doha
Oct 14, 2022 Al Ahli Doha 2-2 Al Wakrah
Key Factors
Al Wakrah in strong form (3W in last 5)
Al Ahli Doha in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.