AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Apr 18, 2024

Red Arrows

Home
VS
13:00

ZESCO United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
ZESCO United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.59 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
ZESCO United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Red Arrows Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 0-1
Apr 03 Red Arrows vs Konkola B… 2-0
Mar 02 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 0-1
Feb 24 Red Arrows vs Mufulira … 0-0
Dec 22 Red Arrows vs Mutondo S… 3-1
Dec 16 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-2
Dec 10 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-2
Dec 03 Red Arrows vs Kabwe War… 1-1
Nov 11 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 4-1
Nov 08 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
ZESCO United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco 2-2
Apr 04 ZESCO Uni… vs Kabwe War… 0-0
Mar 17 ZESCO Uni… vs Kansanshi… 2-1
Mar 02 ZESCO Uni… vs Green Eag… 1-1
Feb 17 ZESCO Uni… vs Konkola B… 1-1
Jan 13 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkwazi 2-0
Jan 07 ZESCO Uni… vs Prison Le… 1-0
Dec 23 ZESCO Uni… vs Mufulira … 1-1
Dec 02 ZESCO Uni… vs Man Utd Z… 1-3
Nov 26 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Red Arrows in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2023 ZESCO United 1 - 0 Red Arrows Super League
Jan 14, 2023 Red Arrows 0 - 3 ZESCO United Super League
Aug 27, 2022 ZESCO United 0 - 1 Red Arrows Super League
Jan 08, 2022 Red Arrows 1 - 0 ZESCO United Super League
Dec 15, 2021 ZESCO United 1 - 2 Red Arrows Super League
Apr 28, 2021 ZESCO United 2 - 1 Red Arrows Super League
Dec 09, 2020 Red Arrows 0 - 0 ZESCO United Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power 0
ZESCO United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Red Arrows Position

+7

Position Gap

8

ZESCO United Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.