AI Match Insights

AFF Championship Dec 20, 2024

Rathfriland

Home
VS
13:00

Zambia

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Rathfriland Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Zambia Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rathfriland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Zambia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Rathfriland Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Rathfrila… vs Singapore 2-4
Nov 29 Rathfrila… vs Oxford Su… 1-0
Nov 02 Rathfrila… vs Banbridge… 1-0
Aug 24 Rathfrila… vs Lisburn D… 0-2
Aug 13 Rathfrila… vs Coagh Uni… 2-1
Jun 11 Rathfrila… vs Singapore 3-1
Mar 23 Rathfrila… vs Coagh Uni… 1-3
Mar 16 Rathfrila… vs Moyola Pa… 2-1
Feb 20 Rathfrila… vs Lisburn D… 3-4
Feb 03 Rathfrila… vs Lisburn D… 0-2
Zambia Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Zambia vs Timor-Les… 2-1
Oct 15 Zambia vs Hong Kong… 3-0
Jul 02 Zambia vs Como 1-0
Jun 07 Zambia vs Morocco 2-1
Jan 24 Zambia vs Morocco 0-1
Sep 09 Zambia vs Como 1-1
Sep 07 Zambia vs Hong Kong… 1-1
Jul 14 Zambia vs South Afr… 1-2
Jul 09 Zambia vs Como 2-1
Sep 23 Zambia vs Mali 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rathfriland in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Zambia struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rathfriland to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rathfriland Power 0
Zambia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.